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Archive for July, 2009|Monthly archive page

Insurers stop accepting covering mass gathering expecting this Fall

In Uncategorized on July 24, 2009 at 12:25 pm

Via le Monde (France)

It has been in the insurers network for few weeks but now it is official Insurers are starting to refuse to insure Mass gathering events in the Fall and in the Winter.

Most networks align themselves on the fact that people will have to stay home as much as possible this Fall and Winter.

Swine Flu Could Devastate British Economy

In Uncategorized on July 20, 2009 at 5:39 pm

Swine Flu Could Devastate British Economy

Via Forbes at http://www.forbes.com/2009/07/20/swine-flu-uk-markets-equity-economy.html?feed=rss_markets Javier Espinoza07.20.09, 09:30 AM EDT

LONDON — Just as the British economy was slowly beginning to recover, a new foe has emerged. Swine flu could cause Britain’s economy to shrink by a gigantic 7.5% this year and dash hopes of recovery next year.

“If the worst-case scenarios of the threat of swine flu are fully realized, gross domestic product could fall by as much as an additional 3% this year and another 1.7% in 2010,” said Peter Spencer, chief economic advisor to the Ernst & Young Item Club, a London-based think tank.

“Our recovery will really only begin when world trade starts to recover, and we should see output beginning to grow next year just as long as the U.K. economy doesn’t catch a severe case of H1N1,” he added.

The worst-case scenario means a 50% infection rate. In this case, swine flu could leave businesses without employees, consumers spending less on goods, and transport and tourism impacted as people stay away from public places to avoid infection, according to Hetal Mehta, senior economic advisor to the Ernst & Young Item Club.

Another think tank, Oxford Economics, believes British GDP could shrink as much as 5% in total this year, thanks to the pandemic. In early July, the International Monetary Fund said it expects the economy to contract 4.2% this year but grow by 0.2% in 2010.

So far 29 deaths have been linked to swine flu and 53 patients are in intensive care, according to data from local health authorities in Britain.

“I can’t help to feel [the report] is a little on the pessimistic side. But the economy is so fragile that it is particularly vulnerable to any shock,” said Howard Archer, chief U.K. economist at IHS Global Insight in London. “We are expecting next year to be a bumpy ride for the economy, between modest growth and modest contractions until the second quarter of 2010, when we expect a recovery.”

Separately, Goldman Sachs said in a note to investors on Monday that Britain’s economy risk of a “double-dip recession” was still “significant”. The note said that any pickup in demand is likely to be “extremely weak” due to high levels of unemployment and fading government stimulus packages.

From the Health Minister of Buenos Aires – H1N1 is here for 3 to 4 years

In Uncategorized on July 18, 2009 at 11:24 pm

Sintesis de la Situación Actual

Hasta el 17 de julio de 2009, se han notificado un total de84,125 casos confirmados, incluidas 674 defunciones, durante la pandemia (H1N1) 2009, en 34 países de la Región de las Américas.

Los siguientes territorios confirmaron casos causados por la pandemia (H1N1) 2009: Samoa Americana, U.S. (8) Guam, U.S. (1); Puerto Rico, U.S. (18); Islas Vírgenes, U.S. (44); Bermuda, UK (1); Islas Caimán, UK (14); Islas Vírgenes Británicas, UK (2); Martinica, Departamento Francés (15); Guadalupe, Departamento Francés (11); Saint-Martin, Departamento Francés (1); Antillas Holandesas, Curaçao (10)a; Antillas Holandesas, Aruba (13); Antillas Holandesas, St. Eustatius (1) y Antillas Holandesas, St. Maarten (8).

La OMS no recomienda ninguna restricción de los viajes ni el cierre de fronteras en relación con la pandemia (H1N1) 2009.
a Tres casos se registraron en un crucero.

En la Región de las Américas, hubo un incremento de 3,482 casos confirmados y 64 defunciones respecto al día anterior.

“Es importante mantenerse a distancia de los demás, no pegotearse a la gente, en esta etapa de la gripe A”, afirmó el ministro que destacó las medidas que se fueron adoptando para evitar la expansión de enfermedad: “primero fue el cierre de escuelas, en mayo, después el aislamiento social, y ahora estamos en una etapa de distanciamiento social”.

No obstante, aclaró que la recomendación de no moverse del hogar, en caso de tener síntomas de la enfermedad, sigue vigente, y para quienes “no tienen síntomas, hay que mantener un discreto alerta de distanciamiento social”.

En este sentido y frente a las actividades y trámites cotidianos que implican asistir a lugares con concentración de personas, recomendó “poner un poco más de ingenio en esas situaciones y utilizar alternativas en la medida que se pueda”.

http://h1n1argentina.blogspot.com/2009/07/la-gripe-seguira-tres-o-cuatro-anos-mas.html

Canada to stock up on ventilators, because of what is going on in Australia?

In Uncategorized on July 6, 2009 at 5:14 am

Swine flu fears spur Canada to stock up on ventilators

Gloria Galloway

Ottawa From Monday’s Globe and Mail Last updated on Sunday, Jul. 05, 2009 10:34PM EDT

Critical ventilators to help Canada cope with the swine flu outbreak are being ordered by the federal government amid dire warnings about the severity of this fall’s flu season.

As the pandemic spreads globally, Canadian public health findings show – for unknown reasons – that victims here have been younger and sicker, and have required more ventilators than most other countries, including the United States.

For years, medical experts have been worried about the small number of intensive care nurses who would be available to treat patients during an influenza pandemic. But the first wave of the H1N1 virus, which killed 29 people in Canada and sent 663 to hospital as of Friday, has exposed another shortfall in national pandemic planning: the number of ventilator machines.

…snip

“It appears that there is a sub-population of relatively young people who very rapidly develop severe illness with this virus. And they are not a large number, but they require very intensive ventilatory support with new advanced ventilators,” said Allison McGeer, an expert in infectious disease at Mount Sinai.

“We have very few oscillatory ventilators. We generally don’t need them very often and usually it’s for a very short period of time. So these young people are requiring a disproportionate amount of time on ventilators that we have very small numbers of.” It is a problem that Dr. McGeer said has been quite distinctive to this pandemic and this particular H1N1 virus.

In Ontario, there are 8,000 ventilators, about 1,100 of which are attached to critical-care beds

snip

“I think it is very appropriate to be concerned about the amount of resources of all sorts, whether you talk about nursing, or certain groups of medications, or ventilators. You want to make sure that sufficient resources are available should this recur in a bigger way.”

The recurrence he was alluding to has been predicted for the fall when the traditional flu season in Canada returns.

Dr. David Butler-Jones, Canada’s chief medical health officer, said in a teleconference from Mexico last week that H1N1 is not going away. “The one thing, to the extent that you can be certain about anything, is that we will definitely see this [disease] this winter and preparing for that,” Dr. Butler-Jones told reporters.

snip

It could be much worse during the fall so we need to be prepared,” said Dr. Robert Ouellet, the president of the Canadian Medical Association. “So I think that any move to improve the equipment, to improve the human resources, is a good move.”

In the First three Weeks of the Present Winter Season in NSW Australia, there has been up to now 1487 presented with flu-like symptoms.

There where 91 cases for these first three weeks last year.

http://flunewsnetwork.ning.com/profiles/blogs/from-australia-first-three

People, wake up a lot of incoming patients are heading towards our Health Care Infrastructure, we lack;  staff, beds, medicines and ventilators.

Time for privates to get their shoulders at the wheel and order for what we will need in big cities and in Regions.

Snowy Owl